TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12476215
Played Aug 23Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131141012111––
Michal Syroha
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 63 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Michal Syroha at 65.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 12–25 Michal Syroha Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 12 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-25 in 37
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 13 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1210 vs Syroha 1337
Syroha
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 60% vs Syroha 40%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 50% vs Syroha 70%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +1 · Syroha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 2.25 / Syroha 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Syroha)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12476215
Sr2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 90 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Syroha1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 75 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 49 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr2wins
AwaySyroha8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSrn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySyroha88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr1Syroha9n = 10Syroha took 9 of 10
S2Sr5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S3Sr3Syroha7n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S4Sr2Syroha5n = 7Syroha took 5 of 7
S5Sr2Syroha2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrSyrohaSr − SyrohaBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.539.2−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 1028 vs 337 / 67546.5%49.9%478 / 1028 vs 337 / 675Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSr 2.25/Syroha 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 08:00V. Sr—11180M. Syroha—1311113
LAug 19 · 24:30V. Sr—8690M. Syroha—1111113
WAug 17 · 17:00V. Sr—117118113M. Syroha—41171142
LAug 17 · 15:30V. Sr—81191162M. Syroha—119113113
LAug 15 · 20:30V. Sr—612651M. Syroha—111011113
WAug 11 · 23:00V. Sr—1311115113M. Syroha—15541182
LAug 2 · 13:30V. Sr—5650M. Syroha—1111113
LAug 2 · 11:30V. Sr—1191151M. Syroha—13112113
LAug 2 · 09:29V. Sr—71191192M. Syroha—116116113
LAug 2 · 07:30V. Sr—9119111M. Syroha—11611133
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180WAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162WAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180
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