TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470407
Played Aug 22Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1193119111210711
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 21–20 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-20 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1092 vs Sr 1180
Sr
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 20% vs Sr 60%
Sr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 10% vs Sr 50%
Sr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -1 · Sr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.83 / Sr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sr)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470407
Grohsgott1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott5wins
AwaySr5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott83.3%5 of 6
AwaySr100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott6Sr4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott6Sr4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S3Grohsgott3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S4Grohsgott3Sr1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S5Grohsgott1Sr2n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSrG − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.632.0+2.6per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSrBasisWin rate · lifetime748 / 1545 vs 479 / 103148.4%46.5%748 / 1545 vs 479 / 1031Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrGrohsgott 1.83/Sr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott—10680V. Sr—1211113
LAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—11391272V. Sr—9111110113
LAug 20 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—9630V. Sr—1111113
LAug 19 · 02:00J. Grohsgott—8890V. Sr—1111113
WAug 13 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—1111113V. Sr—2650
WAug 12 · 03:00J. Grohsgott—111111113V. Sr—271331
WAug 11 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—1111113V. Sr—6850
WJul 29 · 21:30J. Grohsgott—1111123V. Sr—88100
LJul 29 · 19:00J. Grohsgott—61191152V. Sr—115114113
WJul 21 · 14:30J. Grohsgott—1111711113V. Sr—82111392
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.