TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065207
Played Sep 3Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11491113115111210
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 20–21 Jiri Grohsgott Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-21 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1193 vs Grohsgott 1262
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 60% vs Grohsgott 80%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 50% vs Grohsgott 70%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +1 · Grohsgott +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.73 / Grohsgott 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sr)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065207
Sr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 98 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it69% 70 of 101
Grohsgott2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr5wins
AwayGrohsgott5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr100%4 of 4
AwayGrohsgott83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Sr4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S3Sr7Grohsgott3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S4Sr1Grohsgott3n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S5Sr2Grohsgott1n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrGrohsgottS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.034.6−2.6per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 990 vs 750 / 153746.3%48.8%458 / 990 vs 750 / 1537Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.73/Grohsgott 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 14:30V. Sr—1211113J. Grohsgott—10680
WAug 22 · 07:00V. Sr—9111110113J. Grohsgott—11391272
WAug 20 · 06:30V. Sr—1111113J. Grohsgott—9630
WAug 19 · 02:00V. Sr—1111113J. Grohsgott—8890
LAug 13 · 07:30V. Sr—2650J. Grohsgott—1111113
LAug 12 · 03:00V. Sr—271331J. Grohsgott—111111113
LAug 11 · 22:00V. Sr—6850J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJul 29 · 21:30V. Sr—88100J. Grohsgott—1111123
WJul 29 · 19:00V. Sr—115114113J. Grohsgott—61191152
LJul 21 · 14:30V. Sr—82111392J. Grohsgott—1111711113
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180WAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133LSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880LAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
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