TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13037120
Played Aug 30Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811611––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 12–8 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelikan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Pelikan
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1209 vs Grohsgott 1110
Pelikan
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 20% vs Grohsgott 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 20% vs Grohsgott 40%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +1 · Grohsgott -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.67 / Grohsgott 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13037120
Pelikan1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 43 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Grohsgott2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelikan7wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikan100%4 of 4
AwayGrohsgott50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Pelikan7Grohsgott3n = 10Pelikan took 7 of 10
S3Pelikan5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Pelikan5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S5Pelikan5Grohsgott2n = 7Pelikan took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelikanGrohsgottP − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.243.20.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 291 vs 744 / 154047.8%48.3%139 / 291 vs 744 / 1540Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.67/Grohsgott 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 23:30J. Pelikan—111183113J. Grohsgott—75111182
LJul 12 · 23:00J. Pelikan—61113192J. Grohsgott—1191111113
WJun 15 · 20:00J. Pelikan—11912123J. Grohsgott—71110101
WMay 18 · 02:30J. Pelikan—811118113J. Grohsgott—11691192
WMay 7 · 01:30J. Pelikan—1111118113J. Grohsgott—61371142
WMay 4 · 22:00J. Pelikan—1211211113J. Grohsgott—14611832
LApr 26 · 07:00J. Pelikan—81261132J. Grohsgott—1110116113
WApr 22 · 02:30J. Pelikan—911311113J. Grohsgott—11811592
LApr 8 · 24:30J. Pelikan—1151151J. Grohsgott—13119113
WMar 28 · 22:30J. Pelikan—11134113J. Grohsgott—5111161
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880
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