TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065222
Played Sep 3Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112118118––––
Josef Pelikan
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 54.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 8–12 Josef Pelikan Jiri Grohsgott has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pelikan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Pelikan
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1262 vs Pelikan 1198
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Pelikan 40%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 70% vs Pelikan 30%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +2 · Pelikan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.00 / Pelikan 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065222
Grohsgott2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Pelikan1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 40 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott3wins
AwayPelikan7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott50%3 of 6
AwayPelikan100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott6Pelikan4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott3Pelikan7n = 10Pelikan took 7 of 10
S3Grohsgott5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly
S4Grohsgott5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly
S5Grohsgott2Pelikan5n = 7Pelikan took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottPelikanG − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.243.20.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime750 / 1537 vs 141 / 29748.8%47.5%750 / 1537 vs 141 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.234.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanGrohsgott 2.00/Pelikan 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 14 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—75111182J. Pelikan—111183113
WJul 12 · 23:00J. Grohsgott—1191111113J. Pelikan—61113192
LJun 15 · 20:00J. Grohsgott—71110101J. Pelikan—11912123
LMay 18 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—11691192J. Pelikan—811118113
LMay 7 · 01:30J. Grohsgott—61371142J. Pelikan—1111118113
LMay 4 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—14611832J. Pelikan—1211211113
WApr 26 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—1110116113J. Pelikan—81261132
LApr 22 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—11811592J. Pelikan—911311113
WApr 8 · 24:30J. Grohsgott—13119113J. Pelikan—1151151
LMar 28 · 22:30J. Grohsgott—5111161J. Pelikan—11134113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
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