TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065090
Played Sep 3Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121141131214811
Josef Pelikan
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 55.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 2–1 Josef Pelikan Josef Pelikan has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1232 vs Pelikan 1187
Lubas
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 40% vs Pelikan 20%
Lubas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 50% vs Pelikan 20%
Lubas
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas -3 · Pelikan -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 2.10 / Pelikan 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065090
Lubas2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 41 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back17% 5 of 29
Pelikan1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 40 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLubas2wins
AwayPelikan1wins
Lubas leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas2Pelikan1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
S2Lubas1Pelikan2n = 3Pelikan took 2 of 3
S3Lubas2Pelikan1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
S4Lubas2Pelikan1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLubasPelikanL − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.729.3+7.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 319 vs 140 / 29648.6%47.3%155 / 319 vs 140 / 296Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.134.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanLubas 2.10/Pelikan 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMar 6 · 21:30M. Lubas—11711113J. Pelikan—411731
LJan 28 · 21:30M. Lubas—113681J. Pelikan—41111113
WNov 30 · 17:00M. Lubas—91111113J. Pelikan—113481
M. Lubas10
LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113LAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:00M. Regner1.8381050M. Lubas1.831112113
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
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