TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13034840
Played Aug 29Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114117––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Lubas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Miloslav Lubas at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 32–31 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 31 of their 63 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lubas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-31 in 63
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1206 vs Grohsgott 1156
Lubas
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 60% vs Grohsgott 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 60% vs Grohsgott 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas +1 · Grohsgott -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 1.73 / Grohsgott 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Lubas)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13034840
Lubas1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 24 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Grohsgott2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLubas5wins
AwayGrohsgott5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLubas50%2 of 4
AwayGrohsgott50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Lubas7Grohsgott3n = 10Lubas took 7 of 10
S3Lubas4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Lubas5Grohsgott4n = 9Lubas took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLubasGrohsgottL − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.036.8−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 318 vs 744 / 153648.1%48.4%153 / 318 vs 744 / 1536Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasLubas 1.73/Grohsgott 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 12:59M. Lubas—111166102J. Grohsgott—871111123
WAug 21 · 12:30M. Lubas—91211113J. Grohsgott—1110551
WAug 13 · 18:30M. Lubas—91112113J. Grohsgott—1161051
LJul 15 · 20:58M. Lubas—312461J. Grohsgott—111011113
WJul 15 · 18:00M. Lubas—11311113J. Grohsgott—311871
LJul 12 · 16:30M. Lubas—117481J. Grohsgott—91111113
WJun 24 · 14:00M. Lubas—61211113J. Grohsgott—1110841
WJun 18 · 15:30M. Lubas—111110113J. Grohsgott—781281
LJun 14 · 15:00M. Lubas—9460J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJun 11 · 10:00M. Lubas—311851J. Grohsgott—11811113
M. Lubas10
LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113LAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:00M. Regner1.8381050M. Lubas1.831112113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191
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