TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003441
Played Aug 25Finished
Milan Regner
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012511––––
Miloslav Lubas
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 57 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Milan Regner at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Milan Regner 0–2 Miloslav Lubas Milan Regner has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lubas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1323 vs Lubas 1203
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 80% vs Lubas 60%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 70% vs Lubas 50%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Lubas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.83 / Lubas 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Regner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003441
Regner1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Lubas1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRegner0wins
AwayLubas2wins
Lubas leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricRegnerLubasR − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.039.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 503 vs 151 / 31946.9%47.3%236 / 503 vs 151 / 319Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.83/Lubas 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 26 · 13:30M. Regner—21111101M. Lubas—11133123
LMay 26 · 11:30M. Regner—414100M. Lubas—1116123
M. Regner10
WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113LAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962LAug 30 · 16:30J. Svec2.001113113M. Regner1.7371160
M. Lubas10
LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113LAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271
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