TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064993
Played Sep 3Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115118911119––
Miloslav Lubas
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 31–32 Miloslav Lubas Jiri Grohsgott has won 31 of their 63 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lubas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-32 in 63
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1251 vs Lubas 1243
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Lubas 60%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 60% vs Lubas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Lubas -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.20 / Lubas 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lubas)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064993
Grohsgott2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Lubas1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 26 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott5wins
AwayLubas5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott50%3 of 6
AwayLubas50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott6Lubas4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott3Lubas7n = 10Lubas took 7 of 10
S3Grohsgott6Lubas4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Lubas5n = 9Lubas took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottLubasG − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.0+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1536 vs 155 / 31848.8%48.7%749 / 1536 vs 155 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasGrohsgott 2.20/Lubas 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 12:59J. Grohsgott—871111123M. Lubas—111166102
LAug 21 · 12:30J. Grohsgott—1110551M. Lubas—91211113
LAug 13 · 18:30J. Grohsgott—1161051M. Lubas—91112113
WJul 15 · 20:58J. Grohsgott—111011113M. Lubas—312461
LJul 15 · 18:00J. Grohsgott—311871M. Lubas—11311113
WJul 12 · 16:30J. Grohsgott—91111113M. Lubas—117481
LJun 24 · 14:00J. Grohsgott—1110841M. Lubas—61211113
LJun 18 · 15:30J. Grohsgott—781281M. Lubas—111110113
WJun 14 · 15:00J. Grohsgott—1111113M. Lubas—9460
WJun 11 · 10:00J. Grohsgott—11811113M. Lubas—311851
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
M. Lubas10
LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113LAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:00M. Regner1.8381050M. Lubas1.831112113
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