TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036127
Played Aug 29Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214911511––––
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Lubas to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 62 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Miloslav Lubas at 54.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 2–1 Miroslav Vaclavik Miroslav Vaclavik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lubas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1254 vs Vaclavik 1296
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 80% vs Vaclavik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 60% vs Vaclavik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas +2 · Vaclavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 1.53 / Vaclavik 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Lubas)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036127
Lubas1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 24 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Vaclavik2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLubas2wins
AwayVaclavik1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLubas leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas2Vaclavik1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
S2Lubas2Vaclavik1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
S3Lubas2Vaclavik1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLubasVaclavikL − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.730.0+6.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 319 vs 86 / 16348.3%52.8%154 / 319 vs 86 / 163Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasLubas 1.53/Vaclavik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 21 · 21:30M. Lubas—1111113M. Vaclavik—6530
LOct 21 · 18:00M. Lubas—11591152M. Vaclavik—611116113
WOct 12 · 14:00M. Lubas—9111152M. Vaclavik—118751
M. Lubas10
LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113LAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:00M. Regner1.8381050M. Lubas1.831112113
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121LSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113LSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.3811137113M. Vaclavik1.537111171LSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113WAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690
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