TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063662
Played Sep 3Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 55.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 13–11 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Vaclavik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1259 vs Grohsgott 1233
Vaclavik
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 20% vs Grohsgott 60%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 50% vs Grohsgott 70%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +1 · Grohsgott +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.91 / Grohsgott 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vaclavik)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063662
Vaclavik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 22 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Grohsgott1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 89 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 116 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclavik5wins
AwayGrohsgott5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclavik66.7%4 of 6
AwayGrohsgott75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik6Grohsgott4n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S2Vaclavik5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S3Vaclavik6Grohsgott4n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S4Vaclavik3Grohsgott4n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclavikGrohsgottV − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.534.8+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 175 vs 751 / 154053.1%48.8%93 / 175 vs 751 / 1540Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.91/Grohsgott 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 11:30M. Vaclavik—7111171J. Grohsgott—11137113
WAug 31 · 03:30M. Vaclavik—11119113J. Grohsgott—961131
LAug 30 · 22:00M. Vaclavik—12119662J. Grohsgott—1091111113
WAug 29 · 15:00M. Vaclavik—11911133J. Grohsgott—9115111
LJul 28 · 23:30M. Vaclavik—851161J. Grohsgott—11115113
WJul 23 · 22:00M. Vaclavik—91111113J. Grohsgott—115781
WJul 19 · 16:58M. Vaclavik—1112113J. Grohsgott—41090
WJul 19 · 16:30M. Vaclavik—1111123J. Grohsgott—53100
LMay 28 · 23:00M. Vaclavik—1114831J. Grohsgott—81611113
LApr 3 · 02:00M. Vaclavik—2740J. Grohsgott—1111113
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121LSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113LSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.3811137113M. Vaclavik1.537111171LSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113WAug 31 · 03:30M. Vaclavik1.5011119113J. Grohsgott2.45961131WAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121WSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.3811137113M. Vaclavik1.537111171LAug 31 · 03:30M. Vaclavik1.5011119113J. Grohsgott2.45961131
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