TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13050695
Played Aug 31Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116911113––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:00 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 55.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 11–9 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Vaclavik
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1336 vs Grohsgott 1171
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 80% vs Grohsgott 60%
Vaclavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 80% vs Grohsgott 50%
Vaclavik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +3 · Grohsgott -1
Vaclavik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.50 / Grohsgott 2.45
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13050695
Vaclavik1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 29 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Grohsgott2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 141 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclavik6wins
AwayGrohsgott4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVaclavik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclavik66.7%4 of 6
AwayGrohsgott50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik6Grohsgott4n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S2Vaclavik7Grohsgott3n = 10Vaclavik took 7 of 10
S3Vaclavik5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Vaclavik3Grohsgott3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclavikGrohsgottV − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.1+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 169 vs 746 / 154353.9%48.4%91 / 169 vs 746 / 1543Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.50/Grohsgott 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 23:30M. Vaclavik—851161J. Grohsgott—11115113
WJul 23 · 22:00M. Vaclavik—91111113J. Grohsgott—115781
WJul 19 · 16:58M. Vaclavik—1112113J. Grohsgott—41090
WJul 19 · 16:30M. Vaclavik—1111123J. Grohsgott—53100
LMay 28 · 23:00M. Vaclavik—1114831J. Grohsgott—81611113
LApr 3 · 02:00M. Vaclavik—2740J. Grohsgott—1111113
WMar 28 · 21:30M. Vaclavik—811512113J. Grohsgott—115111082
WMar 16 · 24:00M. Vaclavik—111111123J. Grohsgott—8813101
LFeb 20 · 24:00M. Vaclavik—121181192J. Grohsgott—1061113113
WJan 28 · 01:00M. Vaclavik—1111143J. Grohsgott—69120
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121LSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113LSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.3811137113M. Vaclavik1.537111171LSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113WAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121WSep 2 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.3811137113M. Vaclavik1.537111171
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