TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13073655
Played Sep 3Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411118211114115
Miloslav Lubas
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 78 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 55.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 2–2 Miloslav Lubas Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1187 vs Lubas 1206
Lubas
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 20% vs Lubas 0%
Pelikan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 30% vs Lubas 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan -1 · Lubas -5
Lubas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.67 / Lubas 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13073655
Pelikan1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 40 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Lubas2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 41 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back17% 5 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePelikan2wins
AwayLubas2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan2Lubas2n = 4split evenly
S2Pelikan2Lubas2n = 4split evenly
S3Pelikan1Lubas3n = 4Lubas took 3 of 4
S4Pelikan2Lubas2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPelikanLubasP − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match33.040.5−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 298 vs 155 / 32147.3%48.3%141 / 298 vs 155 / 321Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.67/Lubas 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 3 · 19:00J. Pelikan—124314113M. Lubas—1011111282
LMar 6 · 21:30J. Pelikan—411731M. Lubas—11711113
WJan 28 · 21:30J. Pelikan—41111113M. Lubas—113681
LNov 30 · 17:00J. Pelikan—113481M. Lubas—91111113
J. Pelikan10
LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
M. Lubas10
LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113LAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:00M. Regner1.8381050M. Lubas1.831112113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelikan
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M. Lubas
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