TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12277198
Played Jul 22Finished
Petr Franc
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012116119––
Josef Pelikan
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePetr Franc to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Franc above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Petr Franc at 57.7%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Franc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Franc 1335 vs Pelikan 1194
Franc
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franc 100% vs Pelikan 20%
Franc
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franc 70% vs Pelikan 10%
Franc
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franc +5 · Pelikan -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Franc) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranc 1.53 / Pelikan 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Franc)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12277198
Franc1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Pelikan2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 35 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrancPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 132 vs 146 / 31051.5%47.1%68 / 132 vs 146 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrancFranc 1.53/Pelikan 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Franc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Franc won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 17:30J. Strnad1.676116121P. Franc2.1011811143WAug 17 · 16:00M. Syroha2.006690P. Franc1.731111113LAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad1.73111611113P. Franc2.0011811772WAug 17 · 14:30P. Franc1.7311911113V. Sr2.00311481WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113LAug 13 · 20:00P. Franc1.61111151062J. Grohsgott2.20851112113
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
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