TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077487
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141119111311––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 71 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 25–19 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Kulhanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-19 in 44
Strnad
Correct
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1310 vs Kulhanek 1335
Kulhanek
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 40% vs Kulhanek 60%
Kulhanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 40% vs Kulhanek 60%
Kulhanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +2 · Kulhanek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.85 / Kulhanek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077487
Strnad1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kulhanek1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayKulhanek7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad40%2 of 5
AwayKulhanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad7Kulhanek3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad3Kulhanek5n = 8Kulhanek took 5 of 8
S5Strnad0Kulhanek5n = 5Kulhanek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKulhanekS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.742.8−2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime530 / 1091 vs 224 / 41548.6%54%530 / 1091 vs 224 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.85/Kulhanek 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 10:00J. Strnad—11711562P. Kulhanek—811711113
LSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad—111357112P. Kulhanek—9111111133
WAug 21 · 23:00J. Strnad—1111113P. Kulhanek—6460
LAug 20 · 11:00J. Strnad—511691P. Kulhanek—11411113
LAug 7 · 02:00J. Strnad—611111172P. Kulhanek—119713113
LAug 3 · 17:30J. Strnad—96110P. Kulhanek—1111133
LAug 3 · 14:00J. Strnad—11815482P. Kulhanek—9111311113
LAug 1 · 01:00J. Strnad—61171192P. Kulhanek—117119113
WJul 17 · 12:00J. Strnad—71113123P. Kulhanek—11811101
WJul 13 · 10:00J. Strnad—111118113P. Kulhanek—952081
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
P. Kulhanek10
WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133WSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 31 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3631111113P. Kulhanek3.00117831LAug 31 · 12:30P. Kulhanek2.636780Z. Zikmunda1.441111113
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