TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070761
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811117711115116
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 54.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 18–25 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Pavel Kulhanek has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulhanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-25 in 43
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1330 vs Strnad 1295
Kulhanek
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 80% vs Strnad 20%
Kulhanek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 40% vs Strnad 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek -1 · Strnad -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulhanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.80 / Strnad 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulhanek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070761
Kulhanek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite71% won 56 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Strnad1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 94 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulhanek6wins
AwayStrnad4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek80%4 of 5
AwayStrnad60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S2Kulhanek2Strnad8n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S3Kulhanek6Strnad4n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S4Kulhanek5Strnad3n = 8Kulhanek took 5 of 8
S5Kulhanek4Strnad1n = 5Kulhanek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulhanekStrnadK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.1+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 416 vs 528 / 108853.9%48.5%224 / 416 vs 528 / 1088Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.80/Strnad 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 23:30P. Kulhanek—9111111133J. Strnad—111357112
LAug 21 · 23:00P. Kulhanek—6460J. Strnad—1111113
WAug 20 · 11:00P. Kulhanek—11411113J. Strnad—511691
WAug 7 · 02:00P. Kulhanek—119713113J. Strnad—611111172
WAug 3 · 17:30P. Kulhanek—1111133J. Strnad—96110
WAug 3 · 14:00P. Kulhanek—9111311113J. Strnad—11815482
WAug 1 · 01:00P. Kulhanek—117119113J. Strnad—61171192
LJul 17 · 12:00P. Kulhanek—11811101J. Strnad—71113123
LJul 13 · 10:00P. Kulhanek—952081J. Strnad—111118113
LJul 11 · 03:28P. Kulhanek—54131292J. Strnad—11111110113
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133WSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 31 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3631111113P. Kulhanek3.00117831LAug 31 · 12:30P. Kulhanek2.636780Z. Zikmunda1.441111113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111LSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133
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