TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059233
Played Sep 2Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11913115117111113
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 102 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 25–17 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-17 in 42
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1326 vs Kulhanek 1309
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Kulhanek 20%
Strnad
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Kulhanek 20%
Strnad
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -1 · Kulhanek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulhanek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.53 / Kulhanek 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Strnad)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059233
Strnad1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 129 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 137
Kulhanek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad5wins
AwayKulhanek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad80%4 of 5
AwayKulhanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad8Kulhanek2n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S3Strnad4Kulhanek6n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S4Strnad4Kulhanek4n = 8split evenly
S5Strnad1Kulhanek3n = 4Kulhanek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKulhanekS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.340.3+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime527 / 1084 vs 221 / 41248.6%53.6%527 / 1084 vs 221 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.53/Kulhanek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 23:00J. Strnad—1111113P. Kulhanek—6460
LAug 20 · 11:00J. Strnad—511691P. Kulhanek—11411113
LAug 7 · 02:00J. Strnad—611111172P. Kulhanek—119713113
LAug 3 · 17:30J. Strnad—96110P. Kulhanek—1111133
LAug 3 · 14:00J. Strnad—11815482P. Kulhanek—9111311113
LAug 1 · 01:00J. Strnad—61171192P. Kulhanek—117119113
WJul 17 · 12:00J. Strnad—71113123P. Kulhanek—11811101
WJul 13 · 10:00J. Strnad—111118113P. Kulhanek—952081
WJul 11 · 03:28J. Strnad—11111110113P. Kulhanek—54131292
WJul 11 · 24:30J. Strnad—111116113P. Kulhanek—351891
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 31 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3631111113P. Kulhanek3.00117831LAug 31 · 12:30P. Kulhanek2.636780Z. Zikmunda1.441111113
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