TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047564
Played Aug 31Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111012116711––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 64.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 6–2 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pleskot
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Pleskot
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1244 vs Barta 1294
Barta
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 40% vs Barta 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 40% vs Barta 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot -1 · Barta +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pleskot) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.73 / Barta 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pleskot)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047564
Pleskot1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it72% 57 of 79
Barta2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 65 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePleskot6wins
AwayBarta2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderPleskot leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot83.3%5 of 6
AwayBartan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot6Barta2n = 8Pleskot took 6 of 8
S2Pleskot7Barta1n = 8Pleskot took 7 of 8
S3Pleskot6Barta2n = 8Pleskot took 6 of 8
S4Pleskot2Barta2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPleskotBartaP − BBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match35.830.0+5.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 643 vs 218 / 46846.8%46.6%301 / 643 vs 218 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PleskotPleskot 1.73/Barta 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pleskot · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 9 · 08:00J. Pleskot—116271M. Barta—81111113
WAug 2 · 08:59J. Pleskot—81111113M. Barta—117881
WAug 2 · 07:30J. Pleskot—1111113M. Barta—6490
LAug 1 · 09:29J. Pleskot—91111862M. Barta—115811113
WAug 1 · 08:00J. Pleskot—1112113M. Barta—31090
WJul 21 · 16:58J. Pleskot—1111113M. Barta—8960
WJul 21 · 16:30J. Pleskot—11136113M. Barta—9111151
WMay 16 · 07:00J. Pleskot—1111113M. Barta—6670
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110WAug 30 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.7551111113L. Sulava1.90119961
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182
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