TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058150
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslav Barta
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118115711118
Jan Pleskot
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 2–6 Jan Pleskot Miroslav Barta has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pleskot
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Pleskot
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1294 vs Pleskot 1244
Barta
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 80% vs Pleskot 20%
Barta
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 50% vs Pleskot 30%
Barta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta +3 · Pleskot -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pleskot) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 1.91 / Pleskot 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pleskot)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058150
Barta1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 67 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Pleskot1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 90 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBarta2wins
AwayPleskot6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderPleskot leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPleskot83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta2Pleskot6n = 8Pleskot took 6 of 8
S2Barta1Pleskot7n = 8Pleskot took 7 of 8
S3Barta2Pleskot6n = 8Pleskot took 6 of 8
S4Barta2Pleskot2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricBartaPleskotB − PBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match30.035.8−5.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 468 vs 301 / 64346.6%46.8%218 / 468 vs 301 / 643Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PleskotBarta 1.91/Pleskot 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pleskot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 9 · 08:00M. Barta—81111113J. Pleskot—116271
LAug 2 · 08:59M. Barta—117881J. Pleskot—81111113
LAug 2 · 07:30M. Barta—6490J. Pleskot—1111113
WAug 1 · 09:29M. Barta—115811113J. Pleskot—91111862
LAug 1 · 08:00M. Barta—31090J. Pleskot—1112113
LJul 21 · 16:58M. Barta—8960J. Pleskot—1111113
LJul 21 · 16:30M. Barta—9111151J. Pleskot—11136113
LMay 16 · 07:00M. Barta—6670J. Pleskot—1111113
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110WAug 30 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.7551111113L. Sulava1.90119961
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