TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082598
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Briska
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111311113114
Lubor Sulava
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeLubor Sulava to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Briska above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 91 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Lubor Sulava at 57.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Briska 11–14 Lubor Sulava Jan Briska has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Briska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Sulava
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briska 1404 vs Sulava 1450
Sulava
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briska 60% vs Sulava 80%
Sulava
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briska 30% vs Sulava 90%
Sulava
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briska +1 · Sulava -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Briska) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriska 1.73 / Sulava 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Briska)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082598
Briska1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Sulava2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 59 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriska7wins
AwaySulava3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBriska leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriska85.7%6 of 7
AwaySulava66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briska7Sulava3n = 10Briska took 7 of 10
S2Briska5Sulava5n = 10split evenly
S3Briska7Sulava3n = 10Briska took 7 of 10
S4Briska2Sulava4n = 6Sulava took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBriskaSulavaB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.735.6+2.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBriskaSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 395 vs 484 / 97446.8%49.7%185 / 395 vs 484 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BriskaBriska 1.73/Sulava 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Briska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Briska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 16 · 09:00J. Briska—12115113L. Sulava—1071141
LMay 16 · 07:00J. Briska—5121181L. Sulava—11145113
WMay 1 · 08:00J. Briska—1111113L. Sulava—5880
WApr 6 · 08:00J. Briska—6111110113L. Sulava—11671282
WJan 10 · 07:00J. Briska—139118113L. Sulava—111191172
WDec 14 · 02:00J. Briska—1111113L. Sulava—8960
LNov 17 · 13:00J. Briska—3660L. Sulava—1111113
WOct 28 · 01:30J. Briska—13711113L. Sulava—1111991
WOct 2 · 17:00J. Briska—1115163L. Sulava—613140
LOct 2 · 16:00J. Briska—1196101L. Sulava—61111123
J. Briska10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951WSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123LAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110WMay 16 · 09:00L. Sulava1.911071141J. Briska1.8012115113LMay 16 · 08:00M. Tacinec2.1011611113J. Briska1.67911461LMay 16 · 07:00L. Sulava2.2011145113J. Briska1.615121181
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LMay 16 · 09:00L. Sulava1.911071141J. Briska1.8012115113WMay 16 · 07:00L. Sulava2.2011145113J. Briska1.615121181
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