TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041002
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Briska
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611119611––
Daniel Priesol
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Briska above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 64.1%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Priesol
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Briska 1422 vs Priesol 1331
Briska
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briska 40% vs Priesol 20%
Briska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briska 40% vs Priesol 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Briska +2 · Priesol -3
Priesol
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priesol) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriska 2.00 / Priesol 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priesol)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041002
Briska2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back40% 2 of 5
Priesol1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 68 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 48 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBriskaPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 395 vs 239 / 46646.8%51.3%185 / 395 vs 239 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolBriska 2.00/Priesol 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Priesol won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Briska10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951WSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342WAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123LAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110WMay 16 · 09:00L. Sulava1.911071141J. Briska1.8012115113LMay 16 · 08:00M. Tacinec2.1011611113J. Briska1.67911461LMay 16 · 07:00L. Sulava2.2011145113J. Briska1.615121181
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142LAug 30 · 01:30L. Sulava2.10111111113D. Priesol1.67713761
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