TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082478
Played Sep 6Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113911112611––
Daniel Tyn
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 54.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Priesol 7–7 Daniel Tyn Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:19What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Priesol
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priesol 1306 vs Tyn 1308
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priesol 20% vs Tyn 60%
Tyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priesol 40% vs Tyn 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priesol -1 · Tyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priesol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.80 / Tyn 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Priesol)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082478
Priesol1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 45 of 63
Tyn1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriesol7wins
AwayTyn3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPriesol leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriesol100%5 of 5
AwayTyn60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priesol5Tyn5n = 10split evenly
S2Priesol6Tyn4n = 10Priesol took 6 of 10
S3Priesol3Tyn7n = 10Tyn took 7 of 10
S4Priesol7Tyn2n = 9Priesol took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriesolTynP − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.5+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolTynBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 464 vs 131 / 28451.1%46.1%237 / 464 vs 131 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.80/Tyn 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 14:00D. Priesol—8165101D. Tyn—111411123
WApr 19 · 12:30D. Priesol—81111113D. Tyn—117881
WMar 14 · 09:58D. Priesol—1110811123D. Tyn—312118102
WMar 14 · 07:30D. Priesol—137511113D. Tyn—111111932
LMar 7 · 11:30D. Priesol—86110D. Tyn—1111133
WMar 5 · 22:28D. Priesol—11211123D. Tyn—5115101
WMar 5 · 20:00D. Priesol—61111123D. Tyn—1158101
WFeb 9 · 22:30D. Priesol—11115143D. Tyn—7611121
LFeb 9 · 21:30D. Priesol—7126111D. Tyn—111011133
WJan 31 · 18:30D. Priesol—111111113D. Tyn—941371
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142LAug 30 · 01:30L. Sulava2.10111111113D. Priesol1.67713761
D. Tyn10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152WAug 30 · 10:00M. Levicky2.10441141D. Tyn1.6711118113LAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102LAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161
Upcoming Matches
D. Priesol
Nothing scheduled
D. Tyn
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