TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030635
Played Aug 28Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1715116611116––
Daniel Tyn
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeZbynek Zientek to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 83 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Zbynek Zientek at 58.3%
83 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 11–12 Daniel Tyn Zbynek Zientek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zientek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1349 vs Tyn 1265
Zientek
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 20% vs Tyn 40%
Tyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 50% vs Tyn 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek -3 · Tyn -2
Zientek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zientek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 1.57 / Tyn 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Zientek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030635
Zientek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 59 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Tyn2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 38 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZientek5wins
AwayTyn5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek71.4%5 of 7
AwayTyn100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek7Tyn3n = 10Zientek took 7 of 10
S2Zientek6Tyn4n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S3Zientek6Tyn4n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S4Zientek4Tyn4n = 8split evenly
S5Zientek0Tyn3n = 3Tyn took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZientekTynZ − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.536.6+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekTynBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 378 vs 128 / 28349.5%45.2%187 / 378 vs 128 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZientekZientek 1.57/Tyn 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Zientek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek—17116113D. Tyn—1561161
WAug 20 · 20:00Z. Zientek—11911113D. Tyn—611741
WAug 17 · 13:28Z. Zientek—1111113D. Tyn—8790
LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Zientek—111112582D. Tyn—891411113
LAug 13 · 07:30Z. Zientek—512511102D. Tyn—1110118123
WAug 6 · 06:00Z. Zientek—1111113D. Tyn—4430
LJul 26 · 17:28Z. Zientek—11912862D. Tyn—5111011113
LJul 26 · 15:30Z. Zientek—911971D. Tyn—11611113
LJul 20 · 12:30Z. Zientek—1181181D. Tyn—13119113
WJul 19 · 16:00Z. Zientek—11911113D. Tyn—411771
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102LAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113LAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102
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