TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030274
Played Aug 28Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911811––––
Dalibor Kolek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Kolek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Dalibor Kolek at 57.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 3–7 Dalibor Kolek Zbynek Zientek has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:40What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Kolek
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1375 vs Kolek 1264
Zientek
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 40% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 70% vs Kolek 40%
Zientek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek -1 · Kolek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 1.91 / Kolek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030274
Zientek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 104 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back35% 38 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back20% 11 of 56
Kolek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZientek3wins
AwayKolek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek60%3 of 5
AwayKolek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S2Zientek5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Zientek4Kolek6n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S4Zientek0Kolek4n = 4Kolek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZientekKolekZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.233.0−0.8per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 376 vs 10 / 2949.5%34.5%186 / 376 vs 10 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekZientek 1.91/Kolek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 16 · 20:00Z. Zientek—57100D. Kolek—1111123
LJun 29 · 17:00Z. Zientek—111110962D. Kolek—561211113
WJun 29 · 16:30Z. Zientek—1411113D. Kolek—12660
LMay 4 · 14:00Z. Zientek—1186101D. Kolek—81111123
LApr 12 · 21:30Z. Zientek—1111851D. Kolek—13511113
LApr 12 · 20:00Z. Zientek—3860D. Kolek—1111113
WApr 9 · 11:30Z. Zientek—1111113D. Kolek—2890
LMar 30 · 11:00Z. Zientek—7811131D. Kolek—11116153
WMar 12 · 11:00Z. Zientek—1111113D. Kolek—8340
LMar 1 · 20:00Z. Zientek—81160D. Kolek—1113113
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113LAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky1.801112103D. Kolek1.9161090LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek2.1061170M. Kolek1.671113113LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191WAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123
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