TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030412
Played Aug 28Finished
Jaroslav Peter
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116114––––
Dalibor Kolek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Peter to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Peter above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jaroslav Peter at 57.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Peter 1–1 Dalibor Kolek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Peter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Peter 1354 vs Kolek 1311
Peter
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peter 80% vs Kolek 60%
Peter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peter 60% vs Kolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peter +2 · Kolek +3
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Peter) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeter 1.57 / Kolek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Peter)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030412
Peter1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kolek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePeter1wins
AwayKolek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPeterKolekP − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.534.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeterKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 89 vs 11 / 3038.2%36.7%34 / 89 vs 11 / 30Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeterPeter 1.57/Kolek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Peter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Peter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 16:00J. Peter—1412113D. Kolek—121060
LAug 14 · 20:00J. Peter—8101191D. Kolek—11126113
J. Peter10
WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn2.2511114582J. Peter1.57791111113WAug 28 · 18:00J. Peter2.1061111123Z. Zientek1.671178101LAug 15 · 17:28J. Peter2.633101161M. Levicky1.4411127103WAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113WAug 15 · 15:00M. Kolek1.73391181J. Peter2.001111793WAug 15 · 14:30J. Peter2.631061111113M. Levicky1.4412118782LAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191LAug 14 · 19:00M. Kolek1.801111143J. Peter1.9186120
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113LAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky1.801112103D. Kolek1.9161090LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek2.1061170M. Kolek1.671113113LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191WAug 14 · 19:30A. Schneeberger1.367111311102D. Kolek3.00118156123
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