TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029818
Played Aug 28Finished
Jaroslav Peter
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111171181210––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Peter to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Peter above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jaroslav Peter at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Peter 0–1 Zbynek Zientek Jaroslav Peter has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zientek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Peter 1331 vs Zientek 1389
Zientek
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peter 60% vs Zientek 40%
Peter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peter 40% vs Zientek 70%
Zientek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peter -1 · Zientek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zientek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeter 2.10 / Zientek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zientek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029818
Peter2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 8 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Zientek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 59 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePeter0wins
AwayZientek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZientek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPeterZientekP − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.042.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeterZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 87 vs 186 / 37536.8%49.6%32 / 87 vs 186 / 375Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZientekPeter 2.10/Zientek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Zientek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Peter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 23 · 18:00J. Peter—11117762Z. Zientek—811111113
J. Peter10
WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn2.2511114582J. Peter1.57791111113LAug 15 · 17:28J. Peter2.633101161M. Levicky1.4411127103WAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113WAug 15 · 15:00M. Kolek1.73391181J. Peter2.001111793WAug 15 · 14:30J. Peter2.631061111113M. Levicky1.4412118782LAug 14 · 21:00J. Peter1.8311117852A. Schneeberger1.83741111113LAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191LAug 14 · 19:00M. Kolek1.801111143J. Peter1.9186120
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161
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