TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042172
Played Aug 30Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116511118811911
Radim Kvasnicka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeZbynek Zientek to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Zbynek Zientek at 54.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 4–2 Radim Kvasnicka Radim Kvasnicka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kvasnicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zientek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1343 vs Kvasnicka 1411
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 40% vs Kvasnicka 60%
Kvasnicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 30% vs Kvasnicka 50%
Kvasnicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek -2 · Kvasnicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kvasnicka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 2.00 / Kvasnicka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042172
Zientek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 102 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back34% 38 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back19% 11 of 57
Kvasnicka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 23 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZientek4wins
AwayKvasnicka2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderZientek leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKvasnicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek2Kvasnicka4n = 6Kvasnicka took 4 of 6
S2Zientek5Kvasnicka1n = 6Zientek took 5 of 6
S3Zientek3Kvasnicka3n = 6split evenly
S4Zientek3Kvasnicka2n = 5Zientek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZientekKvasnickaZ − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.036.8+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 381 vs 55 / 10649.3%51.9%188 / 381 vs 55 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaZientek 2.00/Kvasnicka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 23 · 21:30Z. Zientek—6411101R. Kvasnicka—11115123
WJul 23 · 20:30Z. Zientek—91211113R. Kvasnicka—1110991
LMay 31 · 09:00Z. Zientek—914451R. Kvasnicka—111211113
WMay 31 · 06:00Z. Zientek—11119113R. Kvasnicka—861191
WMay 2 · 21:28Z. Zientek—1111113R. Kvasnicka—7860
WMay 2 · 20:00Z. Zientek—1111711133R. Kvasnicka—134114112
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161LAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113
R. Kvasnicka10
WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332LAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek2.2511311113R. Kvasnicka1.57911691WAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432WAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:30F. Zurek2.1010134131R. Kvasnicka1.67121111153LAug 23 · 09:04R. Kvasnicka1.531011117112F. Zurek2.38124911133LAug 23 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka1.73713111122D. Priesol2.00111540113LAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
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