TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041660
Played Aug 30Finished
Radim Kvasnicka
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11410121141113113
Matyas Kolek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 78.0% is still 78.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
78.0%
78.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Kvasnicka above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 90 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 78.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Radim Kvasnicka 7–1 Matyas Kolek Matyas Kolek has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kvasnicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Kvasnicka
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvasnicka 1436 vs Kolek 1334
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvasnicka 60% vs Kolek 20%
Kvasnicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvasnicka 50% vs Kolek 30%
Kvasnicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvasnicka -1 · Kolek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kvasnicka) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvasnicka 1.53 / Kolek 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041660
Kvasnicka1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Kolek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 40 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKvasnicka7wins
AwayKolek1wins
5 of 8 to a deciderKvasnicka leads 7–1, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKvasnicka100%5 of 5
AwayKolek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvasnicka5Kolek3n = 8Kvasnicka took 5 of 8
S2Kvasnicka5Kolek3n = 8Kvasnicka took 5 of 8
S3Kvasnicka6Kolek2n = 8Kvasnicka took 6 of 8
S4Kvasnicka3Kolek3n = 6split evenly
S5Kvasnicka4Kolek1n = 5Kvasnicka took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKvasnickaKolekKvasnicka − KolekBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match44.839.2+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvasnickaKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 108 vs 117 / 22752.8%51.5%57 / 108 vs 117 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaKvasnicka 1.53/Kolek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka—11101111113M. Kolek—41241332
WAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka—611716113M. Kolek—118111432
WAug 29 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka—711117133M. Kolek—119911112
WMay 10 · 10:30R. Kvasnicka—12139113M. Kolek—10111171
WMay 7 · 21:30R. Kvasnicka—1111113M. Kolek—8650
WMay 7 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka—1111113M. Kolek—8980
WMay 2 · 19:30R. Kvasnicka—119117113M. Kolek—81191182
LApr 22 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka—97121152M. Kolek—1111107113
R. Kvasnicka10
WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek2.2511311113R. Kvasnicka1.57911691WAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432WAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:30F. Zurek2.1010134131R. Kvasnicka1.67121111153LAug 23 · 09:04R. Kvasnicka1.531011117112F. Zurek2.38124911133LAug 23 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka1.73713111122D. Priesol2.00111540113LAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
M. Kolek10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101WAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282LAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432LAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:00M. Kolek2.008990F. Zurek1.731111113
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