TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035782
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101213114111315––
Radim Kvasnicka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 89 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 57.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 4–9 Radim Kvasnicka Filip Zurek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kvasnicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Kvasnicka
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1423 vs Kvasnicka 1436
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Kvasnicka 40%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Kvasnicka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +2 · Kvasnicka -3
Kvasnicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kvasnicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvasnicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.10 / Kvasnicka 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035782
Zurek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 114 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back31% 40 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63
Kvasnicka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek3wins
AwayKvasnicka7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKvasnicka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek50%3 of 6
AwayKvasnicka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek6Kvasnicka4n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S2Zurek3Kvasnicka7n = 10Kvasnicka took 7 of 10
S3Zurek5Kvasnicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Zurek3Kvasnicka6n = 9Kvasnicka took 6 of 9
S5Zurek1Kvasnicka2n = 3Kvasnicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekKvasnickaZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.1−4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 563 vs 57 / 10850.3%52.8%283 / 563 vs 57 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaZurek 2.10/Kvasnicka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek—11311113R. Kvasnicka—911691
LAug 29 · 06:30F. Zurek—10134131R. Kvasnicka—121111153
WAug 23 · 09:04F. Zurek—124911133R. Kvasnicka—1011117112
LAug 23 · 06:00F. Zurek—1151141R. Kvasnicka—13114113
WMay 31 · 08:30F. Zurek—1212113R. Kvasnicka—101090
LMay 10 · 17:29F. Zurek—411861R. Kvasnicka—11711113
LMay 10 · 14:30F. Zurek—451181R. Kvasnicka—11118113
LFeb 22 · 14:30F. Zurek—11914492R. Kvasnicka—6111211113
LFeb 22 · 11:30F. Zurek—111012101R. Kvasnicka—31214123
LDec 30 · 22:25F. Zurek—11571182R. Kvasnicka—711117103
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
R. Kvasnicka10
WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332LAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek2.2511311113R. Kvasnicka1.57911691WAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432WAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113LAug 23 · 09:04R. Kvasnicka1.531011117112F. Zurek2.38124911133LAug 23 · 08:30R. Kvasnicka1.73713111122D. Priesol2.00111540113LAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
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