TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076620
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115114––––
Filip Zurek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 56.4%
51 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 6–3 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1557 vs Zurek 1447
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 20% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 40% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -1 · Zurek +3
Zurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.57 / Zurek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Blejchar)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076620
Blejchar1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 90 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Zurek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back33% 42 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBlejchar6wins
AwayZurek3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderBlejchar leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar100%4 of 4
AwayZurek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar4Zurek5n = 9Zurek took 5 of 9
S2Blejchar5Zurek4n = 9Blejchar took 5 of 9
S3Blejchar7Zurek2n = 9Blejchar took 7 of 9
S4Blejchar2Zurek1n = 3Blejchar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricBlejcharZurekB − ZBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.130.9+2.2per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 652 vs 288 / 57147.7%50.4%311 / 652 vs 288 / 571Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.57/Zurek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar—771161F. Zurek—11119113
WSep 3 · 06:00M. Blejchar—7101111113F. Zurek—11125682
WAug 29 · 11:30M. Blejchar—1111113F. Zurek—4990
LAug 20 · 07:30M. Blejchar—51050F. Zurek—1112113
WAug 5 · 08:00M. Blejchar—1111113F. Zurek—9960
WAug 4 · 06:30M. Blejchar—81111113F. Zurek—117951
WJul 24 · 20:00M. Blejchar—1115113F. Zurek—61360
LJul 23 · 21:28M. Blejchar—6480F. Zurek—1111113
WJul 23 · 18:30M. Blejchar—1112123F. Zurek—410100
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241
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