TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082595
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11451110121618––
Tomas Hrabec
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Tomas Hrabec below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 16-18
Point 87 set 4, 16-18 — our read held Filip Zurek at 60.2%
87 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 8–4 Tomas Hrabec Tomas Hrabec has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Zurek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1436 vs Hrabec 1385
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Hrabec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Hrabec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +1 · Hrabec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.44 / Hrabec 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Zurek)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082595
Zurek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 89 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Hrabec2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back35% 9 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek7wins
AwayHrabec3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek87.5%7 of 8
AwayHrabecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek8Hrabec2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S2Zurek4Hrabec6n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S3Zurek8Hrabec2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S4Zurek4Hrabec2n = 6Zurek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekHrabecZ − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.129.0+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 575 vs 117 / 22450.3%52.2%289 / 575 vs 117 / 224Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.44/Hrabec 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek—1111113T. Hrabec—3830
WAug 29 · 08:00F. Zurek—11911113T. Hrabec—311671
WAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek—11911113T. Hrabec—711971
WAug 22 · 08:58F. Zurek—1411113T. Hrabec—12320
LAug 22 · 08:00F. Zurek—811151T. Hrabec—11113113
WJun 26 · 17:00F. Zurek—1111113T. Hrabec—9750
WJun 26 · 16:00F. Zurek—11611113T. Hrabec—611771
LApr 19 · 17:30F. Zurek—8670T. Hrabec—1111113
LApr 19 · 14:30F. Zurek—11711832T. Hrabec—611811113
WMar 8 · 09:30F. Zurek—11117113T. Hrabec—771151
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241
T. Hrabec10
LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113LAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971WAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
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