TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036575
Played Aug 29Finished
Tomas Hrabec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611911117115
Matyas Kolek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Hrabec above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrabec 1–1 Matyas Kolek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1385 vs Kolek 1334
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 40% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 30% vs Kolek 50%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec -2 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 2.00 / Kolek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hrabec)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036575
Hrabec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Kolek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 60 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHrabec1wins
AwayKolek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHrabecKolekH − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.038.5−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 224 vs 117 / 22752.2%51.5%117 / 224 vs 117 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekHrabec 2.00/Kolek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec—116911113M. Kolek—81111752
LAug 22 · 07:00T. Hrabec—810100M. Kolek—1112123
T. Hrabec10
LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113LAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971WAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
M. Kolek10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LAug 30 · 09:30M. Kolek1.906580F. Zurek1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kolek2.2512114123F. Zurek1.5710811101LAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332WAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282LAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432LAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133
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