TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035727
Played Aug 29Finished
Tomas Hrabec
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119611711––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:43 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hrabec above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 60.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrabec 4–8 Filip Zurek Tomas Hrabec has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Zurek
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1385 vs Zurek 1422
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Zurek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 50% vs Zurek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +2 · Zurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 2.20 / Zurek 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zurek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035727
Hrabec2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Zurek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 89 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it73% 66 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabec3wins
AwayZurek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZurek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec2Zurek8n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S2Hrabec6Zurek4n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S3Hrabec2Zurek8n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S4Hrabec2Zurek4n = 6Zurek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabecZurekH − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.035.1−6.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 224 vs 280 / 55952.2%50.1%117 / 224 vs 280 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekHrabec 2.20/Zurek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 09:29T. Hrabec—3830F. Zurek—1111113
LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec—311671F. Zurek—11911113
LAug 23 · 08:00T. Hrabec—711971F. Zurek—11911113
LAug 22 · 08:58T. Hrabec—12320F. Zurek—1411113
WAug 22 · 08:00T. Hrabec—11113113F. Zurek—811151
LJun 26 · 17:00T. Hrabec—9750F. Zurek—1111113
LJun 26 · 16:00T. Hrabec—611771F. Zurek—11611113
WApr 19 · 17:30T. Hrabec—1111113F. Zurek—8670
WApr 19 · 14:30T. Hrabec—611811113F. Zurek—11711832
LMar 8 · 09:30T. Hrabec—771151F. Zurek—11117113
T. Hrabec10
LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113LAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971WAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830WAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971
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