TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077776
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111181012118116
Filip Zurek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Roman Guliak at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 7–7 Filip Zurek Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1558 vs Zurek 1421
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 60% vs Zurek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 70% vs Zurek 50%
Guliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +1 · Zurek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guliak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.91 / Zurek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guliak)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077776
Guliak1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Zurek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 89 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 67 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak5wins
AwayZurek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak75%3 of 4
AwayZurek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S2Guliak6Zurek4n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S3Guliak3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Guliak5Zurek2n = 7Guliak took 5 of 7
S5Guliak1Zurek2n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakZurekG − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.5−0.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 686 vs 288 / 57350.3%50.3%345 / 686 vs 288 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.91/Zurek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 09:30R. Guliak—71191462F. Zurek—1191112113
LAug 21 · 06:30R. Guliak—11711672F. Zurek—711811113
WAug 20 · 09:30R. Guliak—611115113F. Zurek—11721172
WAug 20 · 06:30R. Guliak—71111113F. Zurek—115591
LAug 1 · 12:59R. Guliak—9690F. Zurek—1111113
LAug 1 · 12:00R. Guliak—8790F. Zurek—1111113
WAug 1 · 08:59R. Guliak—11118113F. Zurek—871151
WAug 1 · 08:00R. Guliak—12116113F. Zurek—1071131
WJul 25 · 15:00R. Guliak—11115113F. Zurek—781181
LJun 27 · 16:00R. Guliak—6460F. Zurek—1111113
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241
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