TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077681
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113111119––––
Roman Guliak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 46 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 58.1%
46 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 19–15 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1549 vs Guliak 1558
Guliak
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 20% vs Guliak 80%
Guliak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 30% vs Guliak 70%
Guliak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -3 · Guliak +2
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.61 / Guliak 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Blejchar)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13077681
Blejchar1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 90 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Guliak2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar5wins
AwayGuliak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar60%3 of 5
AwayGuliak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S2Blejchar6Guliak4n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Blejchar7Guliak3n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S4Blejchar3Guliak4n = 7Guliak took 4 of 7
S5Blejchar1Guliak3n = 4Guliak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharGuliakB − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.035.7+4.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 655 vs 345 / 68647.6%50.3%312 / 655 vs 345 / 686Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.61/Guliak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 19:00M. Blejchar—111191162R. Guliak—139114113
WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar—1111113R. Guliak—3190
LAug 20 · 08:00M. Blejchar—11119872R. Guliak—481111113
WAug 8 · 11:30M. Blejchar—1111138113R. Guliak—513111192
WAug 7 · 18:30M. Blejchar—71111113R. Guliak—118581
WMay 18 · 18:00M. Blejchar—41511113R. Guliak—1113771
LMay 16 · 19:00M. Blejchar—117111192R. Guliak—811513113
LMay 11 · 16:58M. Blejchar—4580R. Guliak—1111113
WMay 11 · 14:00M. Blejchar—1111113R. Guliak—3720
LMay 10 · 10:30M. Blejchar—1091191R. Guliak—12115113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
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