TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470506
Played Aug 22Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811116118––
Tomas Kraninger
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Roman Guliak at 68.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 6–1 Tomas Kraninger Tomas Kraninger has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Guliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Guliak
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1493 vs Kraninger 1428
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 80% vs Kraninger 0%
Guliak
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 80% vs Kraninger 10%
Guliak
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +2 · Kraninger -5
Kraninger
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Guliak) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.50 / Kraninger 2.50
Signal prob.74% / 27%
Edge (Guliak)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470506
Guliak1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 65 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it72% 44 of 61
Kraninger2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGuliak6wins
AwayKraninger1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderGuliak leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak83.3%5 of 6
AwayKraningern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak6Kraninger1n = 7Guliak took 6 of 7
S2Guliak4Kraninger3n = 7Guliak took 4 of 7
S3Guliak5Kraninger2n = 7Guliak took 5 of 7
S4Guliak5Kraninger1n = 6Guliak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home571%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGuliakKraningerG − KBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match41.133.4+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 691 vs 110 / 21850.1%50.5%346 / 691 vs 110 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.50/Kraninger 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.5%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak—11811113T. Kraninger—711681
WMay 3 · 09:04R. Guliak—11612113T. Kraninger—6111071
WMay 3 · 08:00R. Guliak—11119113T. Kraninger—941191
WApr 9 · 21:30R. Guliak—1111113T. Kraninger—8960
LApr 9 · 18:00R. Guliak—111461162T. Kraninger—8121113113
WOct 25 · 14:30R. Guliak—101111113T. Kraninger—126771
WOct 11 · 18:00R. Guliak—11811113T. Kraninger—311471
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger1.801111111082F. Zurek1.91139812113
Upcoming Matches
R. Guliak
T. Kraninger
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.