TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076270
Played Sep 5Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012117911119711
Roman Guliak
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Petr Osvald at 56.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 11–5 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Osvald
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1469 vs Guliak 1558
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 60% vs Guliak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 50% vs Guliak 70%
Guliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -1 · Guliak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.53 / Guliak 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Osvald)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076270
Osvald1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Guliak2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsvald7wins
AwayGuliak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald83.3%5 of 6
AwayGuliak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald6Guliak4n = 10Osvald took 6 of 10
S2Osvald5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Osvald6Guliak4n = 10Osvald took 6 of 10
S4Osvald3Guliak3n = 6split evenly
S5Osvald3Guliak0n = 3Osvald took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsvaldGuliakO − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.037.4+2.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 211 vs 345 / 68649.3%50.3%104 / 211 vs 345 / 686Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.53/Guliak 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 6 · 07:30P. Osvald—7950R. Guliak—1111113
WJun 3 · 15:30P. Osvald—61113123R. Guliak—11811101
LApr 18 · 13:02P. Osvald—91411111R. Guliak—11166133
WApr 18 · 12:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Guliak—8720
WApr 13 · 18:30P. Osvald—1211113R. Guliak—10860
WApr 7 · 20:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Guliak—9670
WApr 6 · 07:00P. Osvald—111688113R. Guliak—614111132
LMar 14 · 20:30P. Osvald—128791R. Guliak—101111113
WFeb 21 · 17:30P. Osvald—115512173R. Guliak—9111110152
WFeb 21 · 12:00P. Osvald—1261112113R. Guliak—141161072
P. Osvald10
WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 27 · 21:00L. Velicka1.6781341292P. Osvald2.1011111110113LAug 27 · 20:30T. Milota1.611111123P. Osvald2.2064100LAug 27 · 19:30P. Osvald2.0011911772L. Velicka1.73911811113
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
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