TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078127
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311911119411116
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 58.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 14–19 Marek Blejchar Roman Guliak has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Blejchar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-19 in 33
Blejchar
Wrong
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1534 vs Blejchar 1576
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 60% vs Blejchar 40%
Guliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 60% vs Blejchar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -1 · Blejchar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.38 / Blejchar 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078127
Guliak2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Blejchar1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 90 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak4wins
AwayBlejchar6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak40%2 of 5
AwayBlejchar60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S2Guliak5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S3Guliak2Blejchar8n = 10Blejchar took 8 of 10
S4Guliak4Blejchar3n = 7Guliak took 4 of 7
S5Guliak2Blejchar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakBlejcharG − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.7−5.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 685 vs 312 / 65350.2%47.8%344 / 685 vs 312 / 653Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharGuliak 2.38/Blejchar 1.53
Miss
What we said
61.6%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 16:30R. Guliak—3190M. Blejchar—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:00R. Guliak—481111113M. Blejchar—11119872
LAug 8 · 11:30R. Guliak—513111192M. Blejchar—1111138113
LAug 7 · 18:30R. Guliak—118581M. Blejchar—71111113
LMay 18 · 18:00R. Guliak—1113771M. Blejchar—41511113
WMay 16 · 19:00R. Guliak—811513113M. Blejchar—117111192
WMay 11 · 16:58R. Guliak—1111113M. Blejchar—4580
LMay 11 · 14:00R. Guliak—3720M. Blejchar—1111113
WMay 10 · 10:30R. Guliak—12115113M. Blejchar—1091191
LMay 9 · 18:30R. Guliak—131244102M. Blejchar—11101111123
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak2.10971171V. Bosak1.6711113113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Guliak1.5011811113T. Kraninger2.50711681WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak2.751111113V. Bosak1.408660
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
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