TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077650
Played Sep 5Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13117111171412––
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 86 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 57.4%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 9–4 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Cerny
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1556 vs Blejchar 1549
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 80% vs Blejchar 40%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 80% vs Blejchar 40%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +3 · Blejchar -1
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Cerny) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.67 / Blejchar 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Cerny)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077650
Cerny1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Blejchar2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCerny6wins
AwayBlejchar4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny80%4 of 5
AwayBlejchar60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S2Cerny5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S3Cerny5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S4Cerny4Blejchar4n = 8split evenly
S5Cerny3Blejchar1n = 4Cerny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernyBlejcharC − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.3+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 93 vs 312 / 65547.3%47.6%44 / 93 vs 312 / 655Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.67/Blejchar 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny—13711143M. Blejchar—11117121
WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny—1110115113M. Blejchar—61271192
LAug 22 · 17:29V. Cerny—481181M. Blejchar—11117113
WAug 22 · 16:30V. Cerny—811117113M. Blejchar—11391192
LJul 29 · 12:58V. Cerny—5139101M. Blejchar—111111123
LJul 29 · 12:00V. Cerny—7350M. Blejchar—1111113
LJul 21 · 06:00V. Cerny—118511112M. Blejchar—911114133
WJul 10 · 16:58V. Cerny—1111113M. Blejchar—7880
WJul 10 · 16:30V. Cerny—111113113M. Blejchar—181541
WJun 13 · 19:00V. Cerny—811711113M. Blejchar—11911792
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190LSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192
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