TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030383
Played Aug 28Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111816411811––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 88 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 2–0 Vojtech Cerny Vojtech Cerny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1414 vs Cerny 1466
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 60% vs Cerny 100%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 50% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula +1 · Cerny +5
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.91 / Cerny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cerny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030383
Mikula1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 28 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Cerny1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 20 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it62% 16 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMikula2wins
AwayCerny0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMikula leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMikulaCernyM − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.043.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 359 vs 36 / 8446.8%42.9%168 / 359 vs 36 / 84Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyMikula 1.91/Cerny 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 23 · 12:00D. Mikula—11113113V. Cerny—881161
WAug 14 · 20:00D. Mikula—214138113V. Cerny—1112111192
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek2.507101181D. Mikula1.5011123113
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
Upcoming Matches
D. Mikula
Nothing scheduled
V. Cerny
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