TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052417
Played Sep 1Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11971111712141012
Filip Zurek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 104 set 5, 10-12 — our read held David Mikula at 59.2%
104 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 11–3 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mikula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Mikula
Wrong
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1372 vs Zurek 1423
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 40% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 50% vs Zurek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -1 · Zurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mikula) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.44 / Zurek 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Mikula)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052417
Mikula1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 43 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Zurek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 114 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back31% 40 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikula7wins
AwayZurek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMikula leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikula85.7%6 of 7
AwayZurek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula7Zurek3n = 10Mikula took 7 of 10
S2Mikula5Zurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikula8Zurek2n = 10Mikula took 8 of 10
S4Mikula5Zurek3n = 8Mikula took 5 of 8
S5Mikula1Zurek2n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikulaZurekM − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.138.1+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 364 vs 284 / 56546.7%50.3%170 / 364 vs 284 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaMikula 1.44/Zurek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 21:28D. Mikula—111157102F. Zurek—761111123
WAug 24 · 20:00D. Mikula—11820113F. Zurek—7111891
WAug 5 · 08:58D. Mikula—121011113F. Zurek—1012781
WAug 5 · 07:00D. Mikula—81111113F. Zurek—117771
WAug 1 · 10:00D. Mikula—1211153F. Zurek—105130
WAug 1 · 06:30D. Mikula—116115163F. Zurek—611811142
LJul 2 · 06:30D. Mikula—9123131F. Zurek—111011153
WJun 27 · 17:30D. Mikula—1111113F. Zurek—9540
LJun 27 · 14:30D. Mikula—106111152F. Zurek—121178113
WMay 19 · 09:30D. Mikula—11911113F. Zurek—311681
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113WAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek2.507101181D. Mikula1.5011123113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113LAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek2.507101181D. Mikula1.5011123113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.