TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030397
Played Aug 28Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012113811––
David Mikula
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · David Mikula below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held David Mikula at 64.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 3–11 David Mikula Filip Zurek has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mikula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Mikula
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1428 vs Mikula 1414
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Mikula 60%
Mikula
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Mikula 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -1 · Mikula +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mikula)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.50 / Mikula 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Mikula)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030397
Zurek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 113 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back32% 40 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Mikula1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 44 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek3wins
AwayMikula7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMikula leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek66.7%2 of 3
AwayMikula85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Mikula7n = 10Mikula took 7 of 10
S2Zurek5Mikula5n = 10split evenly
S3Zurek2Mikula8n = 10Mikula took 8 of 10
S4Zurek3Mikula5n = 8Mikula took 5 of 8
S5Zurek2Mikula1n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekMikulaZ − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.142.1−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekMikulaBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 548 vs 168 / 35950.2%46.8%275 / 548 vs 168 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaZurek 2.50/Mikula 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 21:28F. Zurek—761111123D. Mikula—111157102
LAug 24 · 20:00F. Zurek—7111891D. Mikula—11820113
LAug 5 · 08:58F. Zurek—1012781D. Mikula—121011113
LAug 5 · 07:00F. Zurek—117771D. Mikula—81111113
LAug 1 · 10:00F. Zurek—105130D. Mikula—1211153
LAug 1 · 06:30F. Zurek—611811142D. Mikula—116115163
WJul 2 · 06:30F. Zurek—111011153D. Mikula—9123131
LJun 27 · 17:30F. Zurek—9540D. Mikula—1111113
WJun 27 · 14:30F. Zurek—121178113D. Mikula—106111152
LMay 19 · 09:30F. Zurek—311681D. Mikula—11911113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113
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