TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082475
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Hrabec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12149111181012––
David Mikula
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hrabec above · David Mikula below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 87 set 4, 10-12 — our read held David Mikula at 54.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrabec 7–12 David Mikula Tomas Hrabec has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:19What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mikula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Mikula
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1398 vs Mikula 1329
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Mikula 20%
Hrabec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 50% vs Mikula 30%
Hrabec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +1 · Mikula -4
Mikula
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mikula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 2.00 / Mikula 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mikula)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082475
Hrabec2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back35% 9 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Mikula1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 40 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabec3wins
AwayMikula7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMikula leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec66.7%2 of 3
AwayMikula85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec3Mikula7n = 10Mikula took 7 of 10
S2Hrabec5Mikula5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrabec4Mikula6n = 10Mikula took 6 of 10
S4Hrabec5Mikula4n = 9Hrabec took 5 of 9
S5Hrabec1Mikula3n = 4Mikula took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabecMikulaH − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.6−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecMikulaBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 225 vs 170 / 36752.4%46.3%118 / 225 vs 170 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaHrabec 2.00/Mikula 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 17:30T. Hrabec—119591D. Mikula—31111113
LAug 15 · 16:00T. Hrabec—2880D. Mikula—1111113
WAug 4 · 15:00T. Hrabec—1117136123D. Mikula—4151511102
LApr 26 · 06:00T. Hrabec—1110111172D. Mikula—131299113
LApr 24 · 14:00T. Hrabec—1111591D. Mikula—13711113
WApr 12 · 17:28T. Hrabec—111111113D. Mikula—713791
LApr 12 · 16:30T. Hrabec—76111162D. Mikula—111196113
WMar 21 · 10:30T. Hrabec—121111113D. Mikula—149981
LMar 21 · 08:00T. Hrabec—816711112D. Mikula—1114119133
LMar 8 · 10:30T. Hrabec—813821D. Mikula—111111113
T. Hrabec10
LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113LAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971WAug 23 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka2.00611391T. Hrabec1.7311911113
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113WAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek2.507101181D. Mikula1.5011123113
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