TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051417
Played Sep 1Finished
David Mikula
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151181012112––
Jiri Stach
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 70 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Jiri Stach at 63.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 3–12 Jiri Stach David Mikula has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-12 in 15
Stach
Wrong
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1364 vs Stach 1422
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 40% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 50% vs Stach 30%
Mikula
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -2 · Stach -3
Stach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 2.63 / Stach 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Stach)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051417
Mikula2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 30 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Stach1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 35 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikula3wins
AwayStach7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStach leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikula66.7%2 of 3
AwayStach85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula3Stach7n = 10Stach took 7 of 10
S2Mikula5Stach5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikula3Stach7n = 10Stach took 7 of 10
S4Mikula3Stach2n = 5Mikula took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikulaStachM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.334.2−2.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaStachBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 366 vs 143 / 30746.5%46.6%170 / 366 vs 143 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachMikula 2.63/Stach 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula—3840J. Stach—1111113
WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula—111110113J. Stach—581221
LAug 23 · 13:00D. Mikula—911861J. Stach—11411113
LAug 23 · 10:00D. Mikula—11711792J. Stach—811511113
LAug 5 · 08:30D. Mikula—5770J. Stach—1111113
LAug 4 · 17:29D. Mikula—311211112J. Stach—119119133
WAug 4 · 16:00D. Mikula—61111113J. Stach—111951
LJul 3 · 08:00D. Mikula—11780J. Stach—1311113
LJul 2 · 08:30D. Mikula—8580J. Stach—1111113
WJun 10 · 18:00D. Mikula—1111113J. Stach—8650
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113WAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek2.507101181D. Mikula1.5011123113
J. Stach10
WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152LAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192LAug 25 · 11:30J. Stach2.50951141V. Cerny1.5011114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.