TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13084595
Played Sep 5Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81181111812101113
Jiri Stach
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 103 set 5, 11-13
103 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 3–4 Jiri Stach Milan Jasek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.73 / Stach 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jasek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13084595
Jasek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Stach2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back34% 17 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJasek3wins
AwayStach4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderStach leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek100%3 of 3
AwayStach100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek3Stach4n = 7Stach took 4 of 7
S2Jasek2Stach5n = 7Stach took 5 of 7
S3Jasek3Stach4n = 7Stach took 4 of 7
S4Jasek3Stach0n = 3Jasek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricJasekStachJ − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.737.7−1.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekStachBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 246 vs 143 / 31049.2%46.1%121 / 246 vs 143 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.73/Stach 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek—1115113J. Stach—61370
WAug 23 · 12:30M. Jasek—111110113J. Stach—861291
LJun 25 · 19:30M. Jasek—913121162J. Stach—1115108113
LJun 10 · 19:30M. Jasek—6970J. Stach—1111113
LJun 8 · 20:30M. Jasek—31590J. Stach—1117113
LMay 1 · 07:00M. Jasek—710110J. Stach—1112133
WOct 28 · 11:30M. Jasek—11917123J. Stach—41115101
M. Jasek10
WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651LAug 24 · 20:30M. Jasek1.67911971Z. Zientek2.1011911113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730LAug 24 · 18:00F. Zurek1.7381114113M. Jasek2.001191261LAug 23 · 13:28M. Jasek1.8378110V. Cerny1.831111133WAug 23 · 12:30J. Stach1.53861291M. Jasek2.38111110113WAug 23 · 11:30M. Jasek1.621111113D. Mikula2.037750
J. Stach10
LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152LAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192LAug 23 · 12:30J. Stach1.53861291M. Jasek2.38111110113
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