TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052437
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Stach
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Filip Zurek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Stach above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Stach at 59.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stach 8–3 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Stach
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1422 vs Zurek 1419
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 20% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 30% vs Zurek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -4 · Zurek -1
Stach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.61 / Zurek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stach)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052437
Stach1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 35 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Zurek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 115 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back32% 41 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStach7wins
AwayZurek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStach leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStach80%4 of 5
AwayZurek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach5Zurek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stach6Zurek4n = 10Stach took 6 of 10
S3Stach4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S4Stach6Zurek2n = 8Stach took 6 of 8
S5Stach3Zurek1n = 4Stach took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStachZurekS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.4+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 307 vs 285 / 56746.6%50.3%143 / 307 vs 285 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.61/Zurek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach—9650F. Zurek—1111113
LAug 25 · 12:30J. Stach—51161192F. Zurek—116119113
WAug 5 · 06:30J. Stach—1111315113F. Zurek—139111362
WJul 31 · 06:00J. Stach—991111113F. Zurek—11115762
WJul 25 · 16:00J. Stach—11118113F. Zurek—871161
WJul 22 · 21:00J. Stach—11711113F. Zurek—511381
WJul 22 · 18:30J. Stach—811168113F. Zurek—119141162
LJul 2 · 09:28J. Stach—116981F. Zurek—71111113
WJul 2 · 07:00J. Stach—11119113F. Zurek—771191
WMay 29 · 17:00J. Stach—1111113F. Zurek—3770
J. Stach10
WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152LAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192LAug 25 · 11:30J. Stach2.50951141V. Cerny1.5011114113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek2.38116119113J. Stach1.5351161192
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