TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003737
Played Aug 25Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115611116911119
Jiri Stach
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Stach at 64.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 1–8 Jiri Stach Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Stach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Stach
Wrong
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1426 vs Stach 1449
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Stach 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -2 · Stach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.38 / Stach 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Stach)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003737
Zurek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 112 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back32% 40 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Stach1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 36 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZurek1wins
AwayStach8wins
3 of 9 to a deciderStach leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek0%0 of 3
AwayStach83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Stach6n = 9Stach took 6 of 9
S2Zurek3Stach6n = 9Stach took 6 of 9
S3Zurek4Stach5n = 9Stach took 5 of 9
S4Zurek2Stach5n = 7Stach took 5 of 7
S5Zurek0Stach3n = 3Stach took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricZurekStachZ − SBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match34.742.1−7.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekStachBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 545 vs 147 / 31050.3%47.4%274 / 545 vs 147 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachZurek 2.38/Stach 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 5 · 06:30F. Zurek—139111362J. Stach—1111315113
LJul 31 · 06:00F. Zurek—11115762J. Stach—991111113
LJul 25 · 16:00F. Zurek—871161J. Stach—11118113
LJul 22 · 21:00F. Zurek—511381J. Stach—11711113
LJul 22 · 18:30F. Zurek—119141162J. Stach—811168113
WJul 2 · 09:28F. Zurek—71111113J. Stach—116981
LJul 2 · 07:00F. Zurek—771191J. Stach—11119113
LMay 29 · 17:00F. Zurek—3770J. Stach—1111113
LMay 29 · 14:30F. Zurek—8470J. Stach—1111113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
J. Stach10
WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152LAug 25 · 11:30J. Stach2.50951141V. Cerny1.5011114113
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