TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065138
Played Sep 3Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117711119116
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 75.8%
93 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 1–2 Vojtech Cerny Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Cerny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1439 vs Cerny 1528
Cerny
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Cerny 90%
Cerny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +1 · Cerny +4
Cerny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Cerny) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 3.75 / Cerny 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Cerny)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065138
Zurek3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 115 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back32% 41 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63
Cerny1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZurek1wins
AwayCerny2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCerny leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayCerny66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek0Cerny3n = 3Cerny took 3 of 3
S2Zurek1Cerny2n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S3Zurek1Cerny2n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricZurekCernyZ − CBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match34.340.3−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 570 vs 40 / 8950.4%44.9%287 / 570 vs 40 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyZurek 3.75/Cerny 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.8%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek—911711113V. Cerny—11711962
LAug 28 · 14:30F. Zurek—10750V. Cerny—1211113
LAug 25 · 10:00F. Zurek—991221V. Cerny—111110113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek
Nothing scheduled
V. Cerny
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