TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063654
Played Sep 3Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141191012114––
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 12–11 Vitezslav Bosak Vitezslav Bosak has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bosak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1447 vs Bosak 1415
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Bosak 20%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Bosak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -2 · Bosak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bosak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.38 / Bosak 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bosak)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13063654
Zurek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back33% 42 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Bosak1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 80 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek5wins
AwayBosak5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek75%3 of 4
AwayBosak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek4Bosak6n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S2Zurek4Bosak6n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S3Zurek4Bosak6n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S4Zurek4Bosak2n = 6Zurek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekBosakZ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.934.1−0.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 571 vs 175 / 35350.4%49.6%288 / 571 vs 175 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakZurek 2.38/Bosak 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek—111110113V. Bosak—491241
LAug 1 · 11:30F. Zurek—561161V. Bosak—11115113
LAug 1 · 07:00F. Zurek—5780V. Bosak—1111113
WJul 27 · 21:10F. Zurek—1111113V. Bosak—5350
WJul 27 · 20:00F. Zurek—5111111113V. Bosak—11137972
LJul 24 · 18:30F. Zurek—4970V. Bosak—1111113
LMay 8 · 20:00F. Zurek—13114101V. Bosak—111311123
LMay 8 · 16:00F. Zurek—7960V. Bosak—1111113
WMay 2 · 18:30F. Zurek—101211113V. Bosak—1210991
WMay 2 · 17:29F. Zurek—11119113V. Bosak—361181
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113
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