TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063656
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811911116511
Vojtech Cerny
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 3–4 Vojtech Cerny Vitezslav Bosak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bosak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1415 vs Cerny 1535
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 40% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 50% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -1 · Cerny +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 1.73 / Cerny 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cerny)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063656
Bosak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 80 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Cerny2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 12 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBosak3wins
AwayCerny4wins
5 of 7 to a deciderCerny leads 4–3, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak42.9%3 of 7
AwayCernyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak7Cerny0n = 7Bosak took 7 of 7
S2Bosak3Cerny4n = 7Cerny took 4 of 7
S3Bosak1Cerny6n = 7Cerny took 6 of 7
S4Bosak5Cerny2n = 7Bosak took 5 of 7
S5Bosak1Cerny4n = 5Cerny took 4 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away457%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBosakCernyB − CBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match43.942.9+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 353 vs 41 / 9049.6%45.6%175 / 353 vs 41 / 90Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyBosak 1.73/Cerny 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 3 · 09:03V. Bosak—12451192V. Cerny—1011119113
LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak—11891152V. Cerny—711116113
WAug 12 · 07:30V. Bosak—111111113V. Cerny—741371
WJul 21 · 09:03V. Bosak—11711113V. Cerny—211981
LJul 21 · 07:30V. Bosak—115101342V. Cerny—7111211113
WJul 12 · 20:30V. Bosak—111464113V. Cerny—512111172
LJul 6 · 07:30V. Bosak—111179112V. Cerny—351111133
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:00V. Bosak1.919950P. Osvald1.801111113
V. Cerny10
LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962WSep 3 · 07:30V. Cerny1.831110115113M. Blejchar1.8361271192WAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113WAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113LAug 28 · 15:00T. Kraninger2.001111143V. Cerny1.7389120
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